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Qual 152021 Beach Blitz
Red94
212262.9
407934.1
265939.8
Blue169
364775.7
347659.3
715736.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113174030040050060094169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#6
62.91.0
49.2→48.2
Auto21.0
Teleop25.2
End16.7
blue by 12.8
3647
#5
75.71.3
65.0→66.3
Auto22.8
Teleop30.5
End22.4
Second
2659
#32
39.81.0
44.2→43.2
Auto13.7
Teleop12.0
End14.1
blue by 19.6
3476
#14
59.31.3
52.7→54.0
Auto21.1
Teleop20.0
End18.3
Third
4079
#24
34.11.6
15.0→13.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.7
End22.0
blue by 2.9
7157
#11
36.91.3
31.3→32.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.6
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
10%Shield Operational oddsMissed44%Shield Operational oddsMissed