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Red173
420166.6
330935.0
59926.0
Blue246
519967.5
4414105.6
699561.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302520100200300400500600173246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#15
66.60.4
72.171.7
Auto20.3
Teleop23.4
End22.9
blue by 39.0
105.60.3
104.5104.9
Auto27.3
Teleop56.0
End22.2
Second
3309
#19
35.00.4
31.431.0
Auto17.3
Teleop7.0
End10.7
blue by 32.5
5199
#12
67.50.3
59.059.4
Auto13.8
Teleop23.8
End30.0
Third
599
#23
26.00.4
27.327.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.4
End5.9
blue by 35.0
61.00.5
47.548.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.8
End28.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed3%Shield Energized oddsEarned
Shield Operational
8%Shield Operational oddsEarned78%Shield Operational oddsMissed