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Quarterfinal 2-12021 CalGames
Red28
196716.8
304526.3
603628.7
Blue93
541918.6
84125.1
415914.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896101502002503003504002893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#19
28.71.2
30.4→29.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End13.1
red by 3.6
841
#6
25.10.4
25.1→25.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End3.0
Second
3045
#5
26.31.2
27.5→26.3
Auto9.5
Teleop7.0
End9.8
red by 7.7
5419
#24
18.60.4
18.6→19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Third
1967
#11
16.81.2
18.5→17.3
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
red by 2.5
4159
#15
14.30.4
14.4→14.8
Auto5.5
Teleop1.5
End7.4