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Qual 22021 CalGames
Red26
304526.3
170012.6
264312.4
Blue35
60593.4
196716.8
11413.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81740501001502002502635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#5
26.35.7
22.0→16.3
Auto9.5
Teleop7.0
End9.8
red by 9.5
1967
#11
16.83.9
23.7→19.8
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Second
1700
#29
12.65.7
27.8→22.1
Auto5.2
Teleop2.8
End4.6
blue by 0.7
114
#23
13.32.6
22.6→20.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.4
End3.9
Third
2643
#22
12.45.7
21.7→16.0
Auto5.2
Teleop2.9
End4.3
red by 9.0
6059
#16
3.43.9
20.6→16.8
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
14%Shield Operational oddsMissed18%Shield Operational oddsMissed