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Qual 242021 CalGames
Red77
84014.7
186841.3
196716.8
Blue72
804834.8
248910.6
304526.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744301001502002503003504007772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#2
41.30.0
40.1→40.1
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End18.4
red by 6.5
8048
#7
34.81.3
24.9→26.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End13.8
Second
1967
#11
16.80.0
11.4→11.4
Auto9.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 9.5
3045
#5
26.31.3
14.3→15.6
Auto9.5
Teleop7.0
End9.8
Third
840
#21
14.70.0
10.7→10.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End1.2
red by 4.1
2489
#25
10.61.3
3.1→4.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
15%Shield Operational oddsMissed7%Shield Operational oddsMissed