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Semifinal 2-22021 CalGames
Red144
502629.3
84622.8
85225.8
Blue15
804834.8
281330.5
62387.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7786020030040050060070014415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#17
29.31.5
26.6→28.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End18.2
blue by 5.5
8048
#7
34.81.5
35.9→34.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End13.8
Second
852
#20
25.81.5
23.1→24.6
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End10.4
blue by 4.6
2813
#4
30.51.5
31.6→30.1
Auto12.4
Teleop9.5
End8.6
Third
846
#9
22.81.3
20.4→21.7
Auto10.4
Teleop2.4
End10.0
red by 15.8
6238
#28
7.01.5
8.2→6.7
Auto5.0
Teleop-0.6
End2.7