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Semifinal 2-42021 CalGames
Red119
502629.3
84622.8
85225.8
Blue104
804834.8
281330.5
62387.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8580050100150200250119104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#17
29.31.0
28.629.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End18.2
blue by 5.5
34.80.0
34.734.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End13.8
Second
852
#20
25.81.0
25.126.1
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End10.4
blue by 4.6
30.50.0
30.430.5
Auto12.4
Teleop9.5
End8.6
Third
846
#9
22.80.9
22.223.1
Auto10.4
Teleop2.4
End10.0
red by 15.8
6238
#28
7.00.0
6.97.0
Auto5.0
Teleop-0.6
End2.7