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Red226
441474.5
973102.4
59930.2
Blue184
347654.3
4414B65.4
392516.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245139050100200300350400226184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
102.40.0
102.4102.4
Auto22.1
Teleop51.3
End29.0
red by 37.1
65.40.6
65.965.4
Auto17.2
Teleop26.8
End21.3
Second
74.50.0
74.474.5
Auto15.9
Teleop37.2
End21.3
red by 20.2
54.30.6
54.854.3
Auto12.0
Teleop16.5
End25.8
Third
599
#14
30.20.0
30.130.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End10.4
red by 13.9
3925
#18
16.30.6
16.916.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End5.1