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Quarterfinal 2-12021 Tidal Tumble
Red125
519953.3
581831.8
258443.4
Blue104
386338.6
973B51.1
3476B33.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013350100200250125104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#8
53.30.3
51.9→51.6
Auto12.1
Teleop13.6
End27.7
red by 2.2
973B
#7
51.10.4
50.0→49.7
Auto7.8
Teleop17.0
End26.4
Second
2584
#11
43.40.3
42.0→41.7
Auto13.6
Teleop14.8
End15.0
red by 4.8
3863
#12
38.60.4
37.5→37.2
Auto9.3
Teleop22.4
End6.9
Third
5818
#5
31.80.3
30.4→30.1
Auto10.9
Teleop7.9
End13.0
blue by 1.9
3476B
#15
33.70.4
32.6→32.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End3.6