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Quarterfinal 2-32021 Tidal Tumble
Red156
519953.3
581831.8
258443.4
Blue147
386338.6
973B51.1
3476B33.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113550100200250156147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.6
52.453.0
Auto12.1
Teleop13.6
End27.7
red by 2.2
51.10.6
50.651.1
Auto7.8
Teleop17.0
End26.4
Second
2584
#11
43.40.6
42.543.1
Auto13.6
Teleop14.8
End15.0
red by 4.8
3863
#12
38.60.6
38.138.6
Auto9.3
Teleop22.4
End6.9
Third
31.80.6
30.931.5
Auto10.9
Teleop7.9
End13.0
blue by 1.9
33.70.6
33.233.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End3.6