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Red232
186850.7
1690117.2
210254.0
Blue207
25465.9
441498.1
510426.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2571820100300400500232207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.20.3
116.1115.8
Auto33.5
Teleop59.0
End24.7
red by 19.0
98.12.3
79.381.6
Auto24.2
Teleop45.7
End28.2
Second
54.00.3
60.360.0
Auto20.4
Teleop16.7
End17.0
blue by 11.9
254
#12
65.93.9
57.761.6
Auto20.1
Teleop29.3
End16.5
Third
1868
#36
50.70.3
45.144.8
Auto18.9
Teleop16.7
End15.1
red by 24.6
5104
#38
26.13.9
35.138.9
Auto10.8
Teleop8.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
8%Shield Energized oddsEarned1%Shield Energized oddsEarned
Shield Operational
55%Shield Operational oddsMissed32%Shield Operational oddsEarned