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Red229
364773.8
170019.8
973111.8
Blue206
67038.5
546077.9
213551.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2091650100300400229206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#2
111.83.1
101.9105.0
Auto24.7
Teleop58.1
End29.0
red by 33.9
77.93.5
71.675.1
Auto23.0
Teleop35.9
End19.0
Second
3647
#11
73.83.1
65.768.8
Auto23.6
Teleop28.4
End21.8
red by 22.0
2135
#29
51.83.5
46.750.2
Auto13.7
Teleop17.8
End20.3
Third
1700
#33
19.83.1
14.817.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End7.4
blue by 18.7
670
#34
38.53.5
35.338.8
Auto12.1
Teleop3.3
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsEarned0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
58%Shield Operational oddsEarned49%Shield Operational oddsEarned