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Red100
135129.6
167883.0
873639.3
Blue125
594038.3
167124.8
11544.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166111050200250300350100125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.02.8
75.472.6
Auto26.4
Teleop31.3
End25.3
red by 38.6
115
#31
44.51.2
42.443.7
Auto13.4
Teleop13.1
End18.0
Second
8736
#25
39.34.7
37.933.2
Auto10.6
Teleop12.0
End16.8
red by 1.0
5940
#16
38.31.2
33.334.5
Auto8.3
Teleop13.7
End16.2
Third
1351
#35
29.62.8
28.625.8
Auto14.5
Teleop9.6
End5.5
red by 4.8
1671
#23
24.82.1
30.632.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
28%Shield Operational oddsMissed37%Shield Operational oddsEarned