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Red231
364773.8
216878.1
167883.0
Blue48
265945.4
510426.1
347649.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253157010020030040050023148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.6
72.673.3
Auto26.4
Teleop31.3
End25.3
red by 34.0
3476
#10
49.06.9
59.652.6
Auto12.7
Teleop15.1
End21.2
Second
78.10.6
74.174.7
Auto21.4
Teleop36.1
End20.5
red by 32.6
2659
#28
45.46.9
52.145.2
Auto14.8
Teleop16.7
End13.9
Third
3647
#11
73.80.6
68.869.4
Auto23.6
Teleop28.4
End21.8
red by 47.7
5104
#38
26.110.8
40.429.6
Auto10.8
Teleop8.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsEarned1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
71%Shield Operational oddsEarned42%Shield Operational oddsMissed