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Red213
265945.4
546077.9
25465.9
Blue178
441498.1
84645.4
186850.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177151050100200250300350400213178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.93.5
55.959.4
Auto23.0
Teleop35.9
End19.0
blue by 20.2
98.12.6
74.577.1
Auto24.2
Teleop45.7
End28.2
Second
254
#12
65.94.7
45.249.9
Auto20.1
Teleop29.3
End16.5
red by 15.3
1868
#36
50.72.6
41.343.9
Auto18.9
Teleop16.7
End15.1
Third
2659
#28
45.43.2
54.357.4
Auto14.8
Teleop16.7
End13.9
red by 0.1
846
#26
45.42.6
22.825.4
Auto18.8
Teleop7.1
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
24%Shield Operational oddsEarned34%Shield Operational oddsMissed