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Red255
364773.8
167124.8
1690117.2
Blue238
97166.9
632860.4
973111.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382600100200300400500600255238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.20.6
114.6115.3
Auto33.5
Teleop59.0
End24.7
red by 5.4
973
#2
111.80.5
108.2108.7
Auto24.7
Teleop58.1
End29.0
Second
3647
#11
73.80.6
71.972.5
Auto23.6
Teleop28.4
End21.8
red by 6.9
971
#7
66.90.7
66.867.6
Auto18.5
Teleop26.5
End22.0
Third
1671
#23
24.80.9
29.430.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End12.7
blue by 35.5
6328
#13
60.40.5
55.455.9
Auto17.8
Teleop12.6
End29.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
26%Shield Energized oddsMissed4%Shield Energized oddsEarned
Shield Operational
66%Shield Operational oddsEarned77%Shield Operational oddsEarned