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Red221
441498.1
594038.3
60439.6
Blue163
364773.8
11544.5
11431.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18516050100250300350221163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.11.9
89.391.2
Auto24.2
Teleop45.7
End28.2
red by 24.3
3647
#11
73.81.1
72.573.6
Auto23.6
Teleop28.4
End21.8
Second
604
#27
39.62.5
37.139.6
Auto14.5
Teleop8.8
End16.4
blue by 4.8
115
#31
44.51.1
43.344.5
Auto13.4
Teleop13.1
End18.0
Third
5940
#16
38.31.9
36.238.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.7
End16.2
red by 6.7
114
#22
31.61.1
30.231.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.3
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsEarned65%Shield Operational oddsMissed