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Red233
161981.7
291088.3
265945.4
Blue170
873639.3
213551.8
25465.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2391680100200300400233170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.31.6
79.781.3
Auto24.9
Teleop40.2
End23.2
red by 22.3
254
#12
65.91.0
65.366.3
Auto20.1
Teleop29.3
End16.5
Second
1619
#14
81.71.6
82.383.9
Auto28.5
Teleop33.4
End19.7
red by 29.8
2135
#29
51.80.7
52.953.6
Auto13.7
Teleop17.8
End20.3
Third
2659
#28
45.41.6
43.845.4
Auto14.8
Teleop16.7
End13.9
red by 6.2
8736
#25
39.31.0
41.142.0
Auto10.6
Teleop12.0
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsEarned1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
42%Shield Operational oddsMissed30%Shield Operational oddsMissed