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Red141
545422.9
580920.7
328450.9
Blue99
392861.7
181022.6
512624.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312402004006008001,0001,20014199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
Unranked
50.90.0
50.950.9
Auto16.2
Teleop13.9
End20.9
blue by 10.7
3928
Unranked
61.70.0
61.761.7
Auto20.3
Teleop22.9
End18.5
Second
5454
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto8.4
Teleop2.3
End12.1
blue by 1.5
5126
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto8.2
Teleop6.0
End10.2
Third
5809
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop5.1
End8.6
blue by 1.9
1810
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto11.4
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
14%Shield Operational odds15%Shield Operational odds