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Red53
411228.4
529316.3
297452.3
Blue75
358116.2
363531.4
533236.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111910501502002505375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
Unranked
52.30.0
52.352.3
Auto21.4
Teleop21.7
End9.3
red by 15.8
5332
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto12.9
Teleop4.1
End19.4
Second
4112
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.6
Teleop7.0
End11.8
blue by 3.1
3635
Unranked
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto10.6
Teleop7.8
End13.1
Third
5293
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto8.3
Teleop3.4
End4.6
red by 0.1
3581
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto7.0
Teleop2.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
9%Shield Operational odds14%Shield Operational odds