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Red97
651725.8
491073.5
529316.3
Blue107
999912.7
177162.7
174644.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12813505010020025030035097107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.50.0
73.573.5
Auto23.2
Teleop25.2
End25.1
red by 10.8
62.70.0
62.762.7
Auto19.2
Teleop17.8
End25.8
Second
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.4
End10.7
blue by 18.8
1746
#15
44.70.0
44.744.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End16.3
Third
5293
#12
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto8.3
Teleop3.4
End4.6
red by 3.6
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3