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Red123
174644.7
402623.1
651725.8
Blue123
999912.7
491073.5
682914.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031140200300400500600123123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End16.3
blue by 28.9
73.5
Auto23.2
Teleop25.2
End25.1
Second
25.8
Auto8.7
Teleop6.4
End10.7
red by 11.0
6829
#16
14.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End6.6
Third
23.1
Auto8.2
Teleop4.1
End10.7
red by 10.4
12.7
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3