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Red64
544228.7
162548.9
512527.2
Blue114
409646.2
245156.2
175662.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105196030040050064114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
48.90.0
48.948.9
Auto16.6
Teleop11.6
End20.7
blue by 13.2
1756
Unranked
62.10.0
62.162.1
Auto17.0
Teleop20.0
End25.1
Second
5442
Unranked
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End11.9
blue by 27.6
2451
Unranked
56.20.0
56.256.2
Auto18.3
Teleop16.5
End21.4
Third
5125
Unranked
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.9
Teleop2.7
End17.6
blue by 19.0
4096
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto15.5
Teleop10.0
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
26%Shield Operational odds54%Shield Operational odds