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Red161
175662.1
233875.4
544228.7
Blue74
93037.6
339724.5
409646.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197109030040016174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
75.40.0
75.475.4
Auto16.6
Teleop29.3
End29.6
red by 29.2
4096
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto15.5
Teleop10.0
End20.7
Second
1756
Unranked
62.10.0
62.162.1
Auto17.0
Teleop20.0
End25.1
red by 24.5
930
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto14.3
Teleop10.5
End12.8
Third
5442
Unranked
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End11.9
red by 4.2
3397
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto8.2
Teleop6.0
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
62%Shield Operational odds23%Shield Operational odds