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Red136
248140.0
584751.6
409646.2
Blue104
162548.9
414332.7
173655.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154153110120130140150160136104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto17.9
Teleop8.9
End24.8
blue by 4.2
1736
Unranked
55.70.0
55.755.7
Auto16.8
Teleop15.1
End23.8
Second
4096
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto15.5
Teleop10.0
End20.7
blue by 2.7
1625
Unranked
48.90.0
48.948.9
Auto16.6
Teleop11.6
End20.7
Third
2481
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto13.5
Teleop9.9
End16.6
red by 7.3
4143
Unranked
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto11.0
Teleop8.1
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
59%Shield Operational odds29%Shield Operational odds