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Red113
414332.7
584751.6
93037.6
Blue194
642144.5
175662.1
162548.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291800100300400500600113194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto17.9
Teleop8.9
End24.8
blue by 10.5
1756
Unranked
62.10.0
62.162.1
Auto17.0
Teleop20.0
End25.1
Second
930
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto14.3
Teleop10.5
End12.8
blue by 11.3
1625
Unranked
48.90.0
48.948.9
Auto16.6
Teleop11.6
End20.7
Third
4143
Unranked
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto11.0
Teleop8.1
End13.6
blue by 11.8
6421
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto16.9
Teleop6.2
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
57%Shield Operational odds44%Shield Operational odds