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Quarterfinal 4-22021 Jerusalem Off-Season
Red109
555455.4
706737.5
599031.2
Blue176
157743.4
263042.5
331634.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312950100150200250109176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#12
55.40.2
53.5→53.3
Auto19.1
Teleop15.5
End20.8
red by 12.0
1577
#10
43.41.2
42.0→43.2
Auto13.5
Teleop17.6
End12.3
Second
7067
#4
37.50.2
35.6→35.4
Auto9.9
Teleop7.3
End20.4
blue by 5.0
2630
#9
42.51.2
41.1→42.3
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End15.1
Third
5990
#22
31.20.2
29.3→29.1
Auto11.6
Teleop9.9
End9.7
blue by 2.8
3316
#19
34.11.2
32.7→33.9
Auto10.7
Teleop5.9
End17.5