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Red132
331634.1
571539.6
555455.4
Blue159
561434.8
157439.8
703956.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90145050200250300350400132159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#12
55.42.2
40.943.0
Auto19.1
Teleop15.5
End20.8
blue by 0.7
7039
#15
56.11.4
54.355.7
Auto18.2
Teleop18.1
End19.8
Second
5715
#16
39.62.2
24.126.2
Auto13.8
Teleop10.4
End15.4
blue by 0.1
39.81.4
31.933.3
Auto12.7
Teleop11.3
End15.7
Third
3316
#19
34.12.2
22.724.9
Auto10.7
Teleop5.9
End17.5
blue by 0.7
34.81.4
37.138.5
Auto14.0
Teleop4.9
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
17%Shield Operational oddsMissed8%Shield Operational oddsMissed