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Red151
209665.1
458657.3
383529.5
Blue167
599031.2
555455.4
706737.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1791270100300400500151167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.4
65.865.4
Auto17.6
Teleop18.6
End29.0
red by 9.7
5554
#12
55.41.0
54.155.1
Auto19.1
Teleop15.5
End20.8
Second
57.30.4
58.057.6
Auto13.1
Teleop21.4
End22.8
red by 19.8
37.51.0
36.237.3
Auto9.9
Teleop7.3
End20.4
Third
3835
#18
29.50.4
30.229.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End10.6
blue by 1.7
5990
#22
31.21.0
29.930.9
Auto11.6
Teleop9.9
End9.7