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Red154
157432.6
169083.9
706723.4
Blue106
561430.6
209642.5
306518.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16692050150200250154106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
83.90.0
84.083.9
Auto20.9
Teleop44.7
End18.3
red by 41.5
2096
Unranked
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End15.8
Second
1574
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.2
Teleop6.2
End18.2
red by 1.9
5614
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.6
Teleop2.3
End16.7
Third
7067
Unranked
23.40.0
23.523.4
Auto8.2
Teleop0.9
End14.3
red by 5.0
3065
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto9.6
Teleop6.0
End2.9