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Red48
784515.4
561430.6
999919.5
Blue49
321126.6
306518.5
999919.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807402040601001201401604849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
Unranked
30.62.5
34.632.1
Auto11.6
Teleop2.3
End16.7
red by 4.0
3211
Unranked
26.61.2
26.525.3
Auto12.1
Teleop5.7
End8.8
Second
9999
Unranked
19.51.2
19.418.2
Auto0.7
Teleop20.0
End-1.1
Level
9999
Unranked
19.51.2
19.418.2
Auto0.7
Teleop20.0
End-1.1
Third
7845
Unranked
15.42.5
16.714.2
Auto10.1
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 3.0
3065
Unranked
18.51.2
21.119.9
Auto9.6
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
5%Shield Operational oddsMissed3%Shield Operational oddsMissed