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Red155
561430.6
209642.5
306518.5
Blue103
67387.2
157746.7
784515.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11367050100150200155103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
Unranked
42.50.4
44.043.6
Auto13.7
Teleop13.0
End15.8
blue by 4.2
1577
Unranked
46.70.8
45.546.3
Auto14.5
Teleop20.2
End12.0
Second
5614
Unranked
30.60.4
32.131.7
Auto11.6
Teleop2.3
End16.7
red by 15.2
7845
Unranked
15.40.8
14.215.1
Auto10.1
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Third
3065
Unranked
18.50.4
19.919.6
Auto9.6
Teleop6.0
End2.9
red by 11.2
6738
Unranked
7.20.8
6.06.8
Auto5.1
Teleop-1.1
End3.2