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Red131
513524.4
169081.5
999912.7
Blue140
306524.5
263035.5
999819.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13482050100150200250131140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
81.50.4
79.980.3
Auto22.2
Teleop38.2
End21.1
red by 46.0
2630
Unranked
35.50.8
35.536.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.8
End11.7
Second
5135
Unranked
24.40.4
22.923.2
Auto7.6
Teleop5.5
End11.3
blue by 0.1
3065
Unranked
24.50.8
24.525.4
Auto13.1
Teleop6.2
End5.2
Third
9999
Unranked
12.70.4
11.111.5
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3
blue by 6.8
9998
Unranked
19.50.8
19.520.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.2
End3.8