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Red41
598722.8
306524.5
999912.7
Blue77
157743.6
565419.8
999819.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76840501001502002504177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
Unranked
24.51.9
25.223.3
Auto13.1
Teleop6.2
End5.2
blue by 19.1
1577
Unranked
43.60.2
41.942.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Second
5987
Unranked
22.81.9
25.323.4
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End9.9
red by 3.0
5654
Unranked
19.80.2
22.422.6
Auto14.0
Teleop1.7
End4.0
Third
9999
UnrankedDQ
12.71.9
18.516.6
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3
blue by 6.8
9998
UnrankedDQ
19.50.2
9.79.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
1%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
5%Shield Operational oddsMissed8%Shield Operational oddsMissed