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Red112
513524.4
169081.5
999912.7
Blue19
598722.8
571523.4
999514.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1406505010020025011219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
81.50.4
80.680.2
Auto22.2
Teleop38.2
End21.1
red by 58.1
5715
Unranked
23.41.1
25.224.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.2
End7.7
Second
5135
Unranked
24.40.4
23.623.2
Auto7.6
Teleop5.5
End11.3
red by 1.6
5987
Unranked
22.81.1
24.723.6
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End9.9
Third
9999
Unranked
12.70.4
11.911.4
Auto-2.3
Teleop16.3
End-1.3
blue by 1.8
9995
Unranked
14.41.8
17.515.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End6.2