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Red200
3343.3
584323.4
233768.3
Blue73
481012.0
54835.2
335735.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160104020030040050020073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
Unranked
68.33.2
69.772.9
Auto22.9
Teleop18.8
End26.6
red by 32.6
3357
Unranked
35.71.8
40.238.4
Auto10.8
Teleop6.2
End18.7
Second
33
Unranked
43.33.2
42.345.5
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End18.2
red by 8.1
548
Unranked
35.21.8
36.935.1
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End18.2
Third
5843
Unranked
23.43.2
25.128.3
Auto12.4
Teleop12.2
End-1.2
red by 11.4
4810
Unranked
12.03.0
22.919.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
42%Shield Operational oddsEarned20%Shield Operational oddsMissed