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Red103
341426.1
296030.6
50338.4
Blue107
283424.3
283222.2
413038.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10683050150200250300350103107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
Unranked
38.40.7
36.937.6
Auto15.6
Teleop14.4
End8.5
blue by 0.2
4130
Unranked
38.72.0
35.937.8
Auto14.9
Teleop11.1
End12.6
Second
2960
Unranked
30.60.7
29.630.3
Auto15.5
Teleop7.3
End7.9
red by 6.3
2834
Unranked
24.32.0
22.924.9
Auto9.8
Teleop3.2
End11.2
Third
3414
Unranked
26.10.7
25.626.3
Auto9.6
Teleop4.3
End12.2
red by 3.9
2832
Unranked
22.22.0
18.720.7
Auto7.9
Teleop2.9
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
5%Shield Operational oddsMissed15%Shield Operational oddsMissed