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Red203
102351.3
30233.3
364148.7
Blue121
24527.1
22652.5
283222.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541080200300400500203121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
Unranked
51.30.8
51.051.8
Auto15.4
Teleop19.0
End16.9
blue by 1.2
226
Unranked
52.50.1
52.752.8
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End23.1
Second
3641
Unranked
48.70.8
48.449.2
Auto18.0
Teleop12.5
End18.2
red by 21.6
245
Unranked
27.10.1
27.427.4
Auto9.1
Teleop5.2
End12.9
Third
302
Unranked
33.30.8
33.033.9
Auto11.2
Teleop10.2
End11.9
red by 11.1
2832
Unranked
22.20.1
22.422.5
Auto7.9
Teleop2.9
End11.5