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Red175
168465.6
353657.3
317536.0
Blue111
413044.0
283430.1
50340.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176120050100150200250300350400175111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.5
63.063.5
Auto17.6
Teleop34.8
End13.2
red by 21.6
4130
#17
44.00.1
44.144.0
Auto15.9
Teleop11.5
End16.6
Second
57.30.5
54.755.2
Auto18.4
Teleop13.1
End25.8
red by 17.0
503
#18
40.30.1
40.340.3
Auto13.7
Teleop18.3
End8.3
Third
3175
#15
36.00.5
33.433.9
Auto9.6
Teleop7.3
End19.0
red by 5.9
30.10.1
30.130.1
Auto9.7
Teleop5.2
End15.2