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Red155
168442.9
413061.4
999915.5
Blue185
3342.5
546042.2
353447.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311500200400600800155185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.0
61.461.4
Auto19.3
Teleop17.7
End24.4
red by 13.7
3534
#14
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto10.8
Teleop11.7
End25.2
Second
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End14.7
red by 0.4
33
#3
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End18.1
Third
9999
#11
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End6.5
blue by 26.7
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto14.2
Teleop10.4
End17.5