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Red156
3342.5
546042.2
353447.7
Blue125
438129.8
86257.0
283434.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150133050100200250300350156125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#14
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto10.8
Teleop11.7
End25.2
blue by 9.3
862
#5
57.00.0
57.057.0
Auto17.1
Teleop15.5
End24.4
Second
33
#3
42.50.0
42.542.5
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End18.1
red by 7.7
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End24.6
Third
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto14.2
Teleop10.4
End17.5
red by 12.4
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End12.4