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Red221
665718.7
973111.2
167877.9
Blue147
4255B12.4
97186.0
1678B44.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244146050100200300350221147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
111.20.2
111.0111.2
Auto21.7
Teleop58.5
End31.1
red by 25.2
971
#2
86.00.1
85.986.0
Auto31.1
Teleop30.6
End24.2
Second
77.90.2
77.777.9
Auto23.2
Teleop29.1
End25.6
red by 33.2
44.80.1
44.744.8
Auto13.4
Teleop17.3
End14.0
Third
6657
#18
18.70.2
18.518.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End3.1
red by 6.3
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto10.5
Teleop-0.6
End2.5