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Qual 222021 Madtown Throwdown
Red165
425515.0
971B61.4
97186.0
Blue154
741937.1
166223.4
167877.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145139100200165154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
86.02.4
71.0→73.4
Auto31.1
Teleop30.6
End24.2
red by 8.1
1678
#3
77.90.9
83.1→84.0
Auto23.2
Teleop29.1
End25.6
Second
971B
#8
61.43.9
41.6→45.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.8
End25.9
red by 24.3
7419
#20
37.11.5
22.0→23.4
Auto11.1
Teleop7.8
End18.2
Third
4255
#21
15.03.9
17.0→21.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End4.9
blue by 8.4
1662
#23
23.41.5
20.5→22.0
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
3%Shield Energized oddsMissed1%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
39%Shield Operational oddsMissed26%Shield Operational oddsMissed