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Red164
581313.3
13360.6
669021.9
Blue81
237044.5
346713.2
490950.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104123020030040050060016481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
Unranked
60.60.0
60.660.6
Auto16.4
Teleop17.4
End26.8
red by 10.3
4909
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto12.6
Teleop12.8
End24.9
Second
6690
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.6
Teleop2.5
End12.8
blue by 22.5
2370
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto17.1
Teleop9.0
End18.4
Third
5813
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7
red by 0.1
3467
Unranked
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End3.5