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Red172
19038.1
151953.7
404132.4
Blue108
237044.5
23819.6
632434.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144104050200250300350400172108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
53.70.0
53.753.7
Auto20.0
Teleop12.5
End21.2
red by 9.2
2370
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto17.1
Teleop9.0
End18.4
Second
190
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto14.3
Teleop3.5
End20.3
red by 3.9
6324
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End19.9
Third
4041
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto13.4
Teleop7.1
End12.0
red by 12.9
238
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
44%Shield Operational odds20%Shield Operational odds