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Semifinal 1-22021 Battle of the Bay
Red245
581313.3
13360.6
669021.9
Blue127
107313.1
151953.7
264829.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810650150200245127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
Unranked
60.60.0
60.6→60.6
Auto16.4
Teleop17.4
End26.8
red by 7.0
1519
Unranked
53.70.0
53.7→53.7
Auto20.0
Teleop12.5
End21.2
Second
6690
Unranked
21.90.0
21.9→21.9
Auto6.6
Teleop2.5
End12.8
blue by 7.2
2648
Unranked
29.10.0
29.1→29.1
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End12.1
Third
5813
Unranked
13.30.0
13.3→13.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End3.7
red by 0.2
1073
Unranked
13.10.0
13.1→13.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End5.6