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Red123
260751.6
259040.2
162628.9
Blue80
457518.8
540133.1
811718.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1456805010020025030035012380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto17.2
Teleop15.5
End18.9
red by 18.5
5401
Unranked
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.2
Teleop8.2
End13.8
Second
2590
Unranked
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto12.3
Teleop5.0
End22.9
red by 21.4
4575
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End10.4
Third
1626
Unranked
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End12.0
red by 10.7
8117
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6