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Red64
4129.2
219123.9
125729.7
Blue72
457518.8
540133.1
811718.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95760501502002506472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto10.0
Teleop7.3
End12.4
blue by 3.4
5401
Unranked
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto11.2
Teleop8.2
End13.8
Second
41
Unranked
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.2
End12.1
red by 10.4
4575
Unranked
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End10.4
Third
2191
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.9
End9.9
red by 5.7
8117
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6