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Red190
87651.9
591352.9
462332.7
Blue105
767717.2
645332.7
842215.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149570100200250300350400190105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.4
47.948.3
Auto15.7
Teleop14.7
End22.5
red by 20.2
32.70.6
31.632.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End15.4
Second
876
#5
51.90.4
46.947.3
Auto13.7
Teleop16.1
End22.2
red by 34.7
7677
#14
17.20.6
16.116.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End8.9
Third
4623
#13
32.70.4
27.828.1
Auto11.7
Teleop8.2
End12.8
red by 17.5
15.30.6
14.214.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End12.7