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Qual 12021 NMRC Open
Red53
310216.7
87655.3
327518.1
Blue180
453952.7
591361.4
767725.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100138020030040053180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#2
55.32.8
51.9→49.2
Auto13.7
Teleop19.7
End21.9
blue by 6.1
5913
#3
61.42.1
52.9→54.9
Auto19.5
Teleop15.5
End26.3
Second
3275
#9
18.12.8
19.7→17.0
Auto7.8
Teleop3.0
End7.3
blue by 34.7
4539
#1
52.72.1
48.8→50.9
Auto13.4
Teleop12.6
End26.8
Third
3102
#13
16.72.8
22.7→19.9
Auto7.0
Teleop3.1
End6.6
blue by 8.7
7677
#4
25.32.1
17.2→19.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
21%Shield Operational oddsMissed62%Shield Operational oddsMissed